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VIX High Risk pressure detected with 60% confidence

Transition mechanism shows foreshock at 0.22 with -0.89 volatility acceleration, indicating deceleration phase. Confidence would invalidate if VIX drawdown reverses from current

What happened

VIX is now High Risk at 60% confidence, with the pressure card identifying the active mechanism.

Foreshock is 0.22, volatility acceleration is -0.89, and drawdown is -65.6%.

The transition confirms pressure in this asset, but it does not confirm a broad regime break without related assets joining the move.

Causal mechanism

VIX pressure is carried by High Risk state, 60% confidence, foreshock 0.22, and volatility acceleration -0.89.

Watch conditions
high

Confidence hold

Hold above 52% to keep the alert active.

med

Adjacent confirmation

Related assets entering elevated or high risk would amplify the alert.

low

State reversal

A move back to Normal would cancel the current High Risk read.

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