Transitions
Regime transition timeline
State changes observed across the monitored signal universe during the last seven days.
| Symbol | From | To | Time | Confidence | Description |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwan Strait | Normal | Elevated | Apr 28, 4:00 AM | 56% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Taiwan Strait. |
| Strait of Hormuz | Normal | Elevated | Apr 28, 4:00 AM | 85% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Hormuz. |
| Bab-el-Mandeb | Normal | Elevated | Apr 28, 4:00 AM | 85% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Bab-el-Mandeb. |
| Suez Canal | Normal | Elevated | Apr 28, 4:00 AM | 55% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Suez Canal. |
| Bosphorus | Normal | Elevated | Apr 28, 4:00 AM | 55% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Bosphorus. |
| Eastern Mediterranean | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Eastern Mediterranean. |
| Persian Gulf & Strait of Hormuz | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Persian Gulf & Strait of Hormuz. |
| Black Sea | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 8:00 PM | 78% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Black Sea. |
| Red Sea & Gulf of Aden | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 8:00 PM | 78% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Red Sea & Gulf of Aden. |
| JWC multi-theater convergence | Observed | Recorded | Apr 27, 8:00 PM | 2% | pwin_war_risk_convergence signal recorded for JWC multi-theater convergence. |
| Gulf of Guinea | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Gulf of Guinea. |
| South China Sea | Elevated | Normal | Apr 27, 8:00 PM | 10% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for South China Sea. |
| Taiwan Strait | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Taiwan Strait. |
| Bab-el-Mandeb | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 8:00 PM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Bab-el-Mandeb. |
| Bab-el-Mandeb | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 12:00 PM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Bab-el-Mandeb. |
| Taiwan Strait | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 12:00 PM | 55% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Taiwan Strait. |
| Strait of Dover | Elevated | Normal | Apr 27, 12:00 PM | 15% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Dover. |
| Lombok Strait | Observed | Recorded | Apr 27, 12:00 PM | 25% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Lombok Strait. |
| Suez Canal | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 4:00 AM | 55% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Suez Canal. |
| Strait of Dover | Elevated | Normal | Apr 27, 4:00 AM | 17% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Dover. |
| Panama Canal | Elevated | Normal | Apr 27, 4:00 AM | 7% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Panama Canal. |
| Strait of Hormuz | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 4:00 AM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Hormuz. |
| Bab-el-Mandeb | Normal | Elevated | Apr 27, 4:00 AM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Bab-el-Mandeb. |
| Taiwan Strait | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 56% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Taiwan Strait. |
| Suez Canal | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 55% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Suez Canal. |
| Bab-el-Mandeb | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Bab-el-Mandeb. |
| Strait of Hormuz | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Hormuz. |
| Strait of Malacca | Observed | Recorded | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 26% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Malacca. |
| Taiwan Strait | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Taiwan Strait. |
| South China Sea | Elevated | Normal | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 10% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for South China Sea. |
| Gulf of Guinea | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Gulf of Guinea. |
| JWC multi-theater convergence | Observed | Recorded | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 2% | pwin_war_risk_convergence signal recorded for JWC multi-theater convergence. |
| Red Sea & Gulf of Aden | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 78% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Red Sea & Gulf of Aden. |
| Black Sea | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 78% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Black Sea. |
| Persian Gulf & Strait of Hormuz | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Persian Gulf & Strait of Hormuz. |
| Eastern Mediterranean | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Eastern Mediterranean. |
| Strait of Hormuz | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 12:00 PM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Hormuz. |
| Bab-el-Mandeb | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 12:00 PM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Bab-el-Mandeb. |
| Strait of Malacca | Observed | Recorded | Apr 26, 12:00 PM | 27% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Malacca. |
| Panama Canal | Elevated | Normal | Apr 26, 12:00 PM | 6% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Panama Canal. |
| Taiwan Strait | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 12:00 PM | 56% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Taiwan Strait. |
| Strait of Malacca | Observed | Recorded | Apr 26, 4:00 AM | 27% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Malacca. |
| Bab-el-Mandeb | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 4:00 AM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Bab-el-Mandeb. |
| Strait of Hormuz | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 4:00 AM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Hormuz. |
| Panama Canal | Elevated | Normal | Apr 26, 4:00 AM | 6% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Panama Canal. |
| Taiwan Strait | Normal | Elevated | Apr 26, 4:00 AM | 56% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Taiwan Strait. |
| Strait of Dover | Elevated | Normal | Apr 26, 4:00 AM | 16% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Dover. |
| Lombok Strait | Observed | Recorded | Apr 26, 4:00 AM | 26% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Lombok Strait. |
| Persian Gulf & Strait of Hormuz | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Persian Gulf & Strait of Hormuz. |
| Red Sea & Gulf of Aden | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 78% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Red Sea & Gulf of Aden. |
| Black Sea | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 78% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Black Sea. |
| Eastern Mediterranean | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Eastern Mediterranean. |
| Taiwan Strait | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Taiwan Strait. |
| South China Sea | Elevated | Normal | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 10% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for South China Sea. |
| Gulf of Guinea | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Gulf of Guinea. |
| JWC multi-theater convergence | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 3% | pwin_war_risk_convergence signal recorded for JWC multi-theater convergence. |
| Bab-el-Mandeb | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Bab-el-Mandeb. |
| Strait of Malacca | Observed | Recorded | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 26% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Malacca. |
| Panama Canal | Elevated | Normal | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 6% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Panama Canal. |
| Taiwan Strait | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 56% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Taiwan Strait. |
| Strait of Hormuz | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 8:00 PM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Hormuz. |
| Taiwan Strait | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 12:00 PM | 57% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Taiwan Strait. |
| Bosphorus | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 4:00 AM | 55% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Bosphorus. |
| Panama Canal | Elevated | Normal | Apr 25, 4:00 AM | 6% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Panama Canal. |
| Strait of Malacca | Observed | Recorded | Apr 25, 4:00 AM | 26% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Strait of Malacca. |
| Bab-el-Mandeb | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 4:00 AM | 86% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Bab-el-Mandeb. |
| Lombok Strait | Observed | Recorded | Apr 25, 4:00 AM | 28% | pwin_chokepoint_stress signal recorded for Lombok Strait. |
| South China Sea | Elevated | Normal | Apr 25, 2:06 AM | 10% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for South China Sea. |
| Gulf of Guinea | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 2:06 AM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Gulf of Guinea. |
| Eastern Mediterranean | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 2:06 AM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Eastern Mediterranean. |
| Persian Gulf & Strait of Hormuz | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 2:06 AM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Persian Gulf & Strait of Hormuz. |
| Black Sea | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 2:06 AM | 78% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Black Sea. |
| Red Sea & Gulf of Aden | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 2:06 AM | 78% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Red Sea & Gulf of Aden. |
| JWC multi-theater convergence | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 2:06 AM | 3% | pwin_war_risk_convergence signal recorded for JWC multi-theater convergence. |
| Taiwan Strait | Normal | Elevated | Apr 25, 2:06 AM | 50% | pwin_war_risk_corridor signal recorded for Taiwan Strait. |
| LFWD | Observed | Recorded | Apr 22, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for LFWD. |
| DAWN | Observed | Recorded | Apr 22, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for DAWN. |
| PEG | Observed | Recorded | Apr 22, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for PEG. |
| NHI | Observed | Recorded | Apr 22, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for NHI. |
| CASS | Observed | Recorded | Apr 22, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for CASS. |
| RPM | Observed | Recorded | Apr 22, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for RPM. |
| CDNA | Observed | Recorded | Apr 22, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for CDNA. |
| MRBK | Observed | Recorded | Apr 22, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for MRBK. |
| CLBK | Observed | Recorded | Apr 22, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for CLBK. |
| SNDA | Observed | Recorded | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for SNDA. |
| DHIL | Observed | Recorded | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for DHIL. |
| Next Stop Logistics Inc. | Elevated | Normal | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 80% | warn_filing signal recorded for Next Stop Logistics Inc.. |
| Joe's Crab Shack | Elevated | Normal | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 44% | warn_filing signal recorded for Joe's Crab Shack. |
| Freudenberg Medical LLC | Elevated | Normal | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 80% | warn_filing signal recorded for Freudenberg Medical LLC. |
| HTLD | Observed | Recorded | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for HTLD. |
| UCLE | Observed | Recorded | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for UCLE. |
| COCO | Observed | Recorded | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for COCO. |
| PROP | Observed | Recorded | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for PROP. |
| JBIO | Observed | Recorded | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for JBIO. |
| CZFS | Observed | Recorded | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for CZFS. |
| XWIN | Observed | Recorded | Apr 21, 8:00 PM | 1% | edgar_item_5_02 signal recorded for XWIN. |