An intelligence
service, not a platform.
Arcane exists because the people running books on professional desks were, as a group, underserved by the tools they had available — Bloomberg for data, Excel for thinking, and wire services that wrote for readers rather than for capital.
We are a research firm first. The software is the distribution channel for the research; the research is what actually matters. The model is named, versioned, and accountable. Every briefing is signed.
Six commitments that run the firm.
Every model is named and dated.
VIDI v8.4 is the current regime engine. Each version ships with a changelog. We do not silently retrain and push.
The briefing is signed.
A person's byline goes on every briefing. If the call is wrong, it's wrong with a name attached. Accountability lives above automation.
Uncertainty is quantified, not hidden.
Every signal publishes its confidence, its stability window, and the conditions that would flip it. We report spreads, not point estimates.
We don't take your trade data.
The model is trained on public market microstructure. Your positions, orders, and P&L stay with your broker. Arcane will never ask for them.
No advisor relationship.
Arcane is not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer. Nothing published is advice. This is research you apply to your own judgment.
The product is the research.
The software is a distribution channel. If the work is wrong, no amount of UX fixes it. If it's right, the UI can be plain and still worth reading.
How a regime
is read.
A regime is a period during which an asset's return distribution, correlation structure, and sentiment proxies are internally consistent. Regimes don't end cleanly — they soften at the edges, transition through a noisier middle, and resolve into the next state. The point of Arcane is to read those edges earlier than headline price action does.
Every regime reading passes through five stages. Signals from any stage can be consumed independently via Build, but the published reading is the full pipeline.
Who's actually writing this.
Arcane is small on purpose. Twenty-eight people, no chief-of-anything, nobody's title is invented. The research bench reports to the CIO; engineering reports to the CTO; everyone reads briefings before publication.
Privately held. Aligned backers.
We've taken a single Series A from investors whose portfolio and time horizons match ours. No growth-at-all-costs pressure; no pivot to consumer; no pressure to become a broker.