Alt Data
Epistemic labeling is mandatory: what a source can support, and what it cannot.
Every named series in the registry carries its class, its cadence and what it cannot support. Read the registry →
Berth queues diverge from reported throughput
Two measurements of the same port disagree, and the disagreement has a structural cause rather than a reporting one.
No live chart is wired to this feature yet — the series above are its named evidence, not this axis.
Two is a coincidence; three is the threshold for publication.
Filing cadence as a capability signal
Posting composition ahead of capex
Priced expectations of discrete events
Physical constraint on a delivery schedule
Shipping & trade flow
Vessel positions, canal transits, declared draft, port calls, lading records
Cannot support: cargo value, ownership, destination intent
Procurement & public record
Tenders, awards, permits, regulatory dockets, court and customs filings
Cannot support: timing — publication lags the decision
Satellite & remote sensing
Optical passes, radar, thermal anomaly, night radiance, flare detection
Cannot support: continuity — cloud cover and revisit gaps
Labour & capability
Posting composition, patent cadence, licences, certifications, plant hiring
Cannot support: intent — postings are aspiration, not commitment
OSINT & social
Geolocated imagery, local reporting, trade forums, employee and operator posts
Never load-bearing alone. Requires two independent corroborations.
News & wire behaviour
Wire cadence, correction rates, language shift, sourcing pattern, embargo timing
Cannot support: fact. It measures how a story is being told.
Prediction & odds
Event markets, implied probabilities, spread structure, settlement history
Cannot support: thin books price attention as much as odds
Physical & environmental
Grid load, industrial power draw, water levels, drought, freight-relevant weather
Cannot support: attribution to a single operator or facility
Web & app telemetry
Price page changes, checkout availability, app rank, certificate and DNS records
Cannot support: revenue. Availability is not conversion.
State records only whether a claim was logged this week or refused outright — per-claim corroboration count is not tracked in this cycle's ledger, so it is not shown here.
A document from the issuing authority. Can stand alone; usually late.
An instrument reading of a physical event. Timely, with known error.
A proxy that requires a stated mechanism to mean anything.
A human claim. Never load-bearing alone, at any volume.
Looked at, not used
Signals the desk examined this week and declined. A refusal printed here is the same discipline as a citation printed above.