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Alt Data

Off normal: Alt Data

Everything ARCANE reads from outside the price, in one field. What traders pay for outcomes, where ships call, what the straits carry, who is hiring, and what the Pacific is doing, each placed against its own normal. The centre line is normal. The further a mark sits from it, the stranger the week.

136 readings6 of 6 measures answeringPage read Oct 23, 6:03 PM EDT

The field

Each lane has its own scale and its own normal. Point at a mark, or tab into the field and use the arrow keys.

Prediction markets

Centre: Price a week ago

Kalshi, Polymarket · data to Oct 23, 5:56 PM EDT

Port calls

Centre: 2019–2023 normal for the week

IMF PortWatch · data to Oct 16, 2026

Chokepoint transits

Centre: 2019–2023 normal

IMF PortWatch · data to Oct 18, 2026

US job postings, by occupation

Centre: Same week a year earlier

Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 16, 2026

Job postings, by country

Centre: Same week a year earlier

Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 16, 2026

Niño 3.4 sea temperature

Centre: 1991–2020 average

NOAA Climate Prediction Center · data to Oct 14, 2026

Every reading as a table
Prediction markets · centre: price a week ago · Kalshi, Polymarket · data to Oct 23, 5:56 PM EDT
ReadingOff normalDetail
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...+83 ptsPolymarket prices it at 100%, up 83 points on the week.
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026: ↑ $105+30 ptsPolymarket prices ↑ $105 at 76%, up 30 points on the week.
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms: Oil ≥ $85; D Senate+14 ptsPolymarket prices Oil ≥ $85; D Senate at 65%, up 14 points on the week.
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026: 5–15%+10 ptsPolymarket prices 5–15% at 89%, up 10 points on the week.
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms: No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate+7 ptsPolymarket prices No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate at 69%, up 7 points on the week.
Fed decision in Oct 2026: Hold+6 ptsKalshi prices Hold at 93%, up 6 points on the week.
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms: Oil ≥ $80; D Senate+6 ptsPolymarket prices Oil ≥ $80; D Senate at 67%, up 6 points on the week.
CPI YoY in November: Above 3.8%+5 ptsKalshi prices Above 3.8% at 65%, up 5 points on the week.
Jobs numbers in October 2026: Above 60K+5 ptsKalshi prices Above 60K at 61%, up 5 points on the week.
Unemployment in October: Above 4.1%+4 ptsKalshi prices Above 4.1% at 70%, up 4 points on the week.
NATO x Russia military clash by...: October 31−4 ptsPolymarket prices October 31 at 2%, down 4 points on the week.
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026: Above 2.5%−3 ptsKalshi prices Above 2.5% at 79%, down 3 points on the week.
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...: October 24+3 ptsPolymarket prices October 24 at 89%, up 3 points on the week.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...: October 31+2 ptsPolymarket prices October 31 at 7%, up 2 points on the week.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...: October 31−2 ptsPolymarket prices October 31 at 2%, down 2 points on the week.
Recession this year−1 ptsKalshi prices it at 4%, down 1 points on the week.
Recession in 2027−1 ptsKalshi prices it at 22%, down 1 points on the week.
Crude Oil all time high by...: December 31+1 ptsPolymarket prices December 31 at 14%, up 1 points on the week.
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027: Canada+1 ptsPolymarket prices Canada at 13%, up 1 points on the week.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 310 ptsPolymarket prices it at 1%, unchanged on the week.
Port calls · centre: 2019–2023 normal for the week · IMF PortWatch · data to Oct 16, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Jebel Ali−77%5.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −77% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Nhava Sheva (Mumbai)+39%24.3 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, +39% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Piraeus−39%9.7 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −39% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Shanghai−34%70.7 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −34% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Port Klang+16%33.3 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, +16% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Kaohsiung−13%30.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −13% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Savannah−13%5.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −13% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Qingdao−12%26.1 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −12% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Hong Kong−10%38.3 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −10% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Busan−9%50.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −9% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Rotterdam−9%85.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −9% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Antwerp−9%57.7 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −9% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Hamburg−8%18.1 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −8% against the 2019–2023 normal.
New York–New Jersey+7%11.1 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, +7% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Houston−7%19.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −7% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Ningbo+6%48.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, +6% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Shenzhen (Shekou)+5%8.4 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, +5% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Tianjin−5%29.3 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −5% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Santos−5%13.7 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −5% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Singapore−4%116.7 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −4% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Tanger Med−4%11.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −4% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Colombo−2%9.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −2% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Los Angeles–Long Beach−1%9.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 16, 2026, −1% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Chokepoint transits · centre: 2019–2023 normal · IMF PortWatch · data to Oct 18, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Hormuz−96%3.7 transits a day from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, against a normal of 89.6.
Cape of Good Hope+80%85.7 transits a day from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, against a normal of 47.5.
Bab el-Mandeb−59%26.4 transits a day from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, against a normal of 64.4.
Bosphorus−55%46.6 transits a day from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, against a normal of 103.1.
Suez−30%44.3 transits a day from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, against a normal of 63.0.
Danish straits−18%41.4 transits a day from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, against a normal of 50.5.
Malacca+16%215.1 transits a day from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, against a normal of 185.1.
Panama−15%27.7 transits a day from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, against a normal of 32.8.
Gibraltar−7%124.4 transits a day from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, against a normal of 134.0.
Taiwan Strait0%227.3 transits a day from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, against a normal of 227.1.
US job postings, by occupation · centre: same week a year earlier · Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 16, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Mechanical Engineering+42.5%Postings at 168.7 (1 February 2020 = 100), +42.5% on a year.
Industrial Engineering+36.2%Postings at 122.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), +36.2% on a year.
Electrical Engineering+33.1%Postings at 152.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +33.1% on a year.
Software Development+21.1%Postings at 78.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), +21.1% on a year.
Scientific Research & Development+19.7%Postings at 83.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), +19.7% on a year.
Human Resources+17.5%Postings at 98.6 (1 February 2020 = 100), +17.5% on a year.
Project Management+16.4%Postings at 117.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +16.4% on a year.
Dental−14.5%Postings at 118.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), −14.5% on a year.
Production & Manufacturing+12.9%Postings at 124.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), +12.9% on a year.
IT Systems & Solutions+12.1%Postings at 77.6 (1 February 2020 = 100), +12.1% on a year.
Banking & Finance+11.7%Postings at 106.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), +11.7% on a year.
Aviation+11.5%Postings at 118.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +11.5% on a year.
Childcare−10.6%Postings at 85.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), −10.6% on a year.
Arts & Entertainment+10.4%Postings at 87.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), +10.4% on a year.
Loading & Stocking+10.1%Postings at 107.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), +10.1% on a year.
Education & Instruction−8.8%Postings at 107.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), −8.8% on a year.
Physicians & Surgeons+8.5%Postings at 201.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +8.5% on a year.
Management+7.7%Postings at 104.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), +7.7% on a year.
Data & Analytics+7.6%Postings at 63.6 (1 February 2020 = 100), +7.6% on a year.
Medical Information−7.2%Postings at 87.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), −7.2% on a year.
Logistic Support+7.2%Postings at 118.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), +7.2% on a year.
Social Science−6.9%Postings at 124.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), −6.9% on a year.
Construction+6.5%Postings at 128.4 (1 February 2020 = 100), +6.5% on a year.
Civil Engineering+6.1%Postings at 162.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), +6.1% on a year.
Community & Social Service−5.6%Postings at 105.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), −5.6% on a year.
Media & Communications+5.6%Postings at 68.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +5.6% on a year.
Pharmacy+5.3%Postings at 124.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), +5.3% on a year.
Hospitality & Tourism−5.1%Postings at 83.6 (1 February 2020 = 100), −5.1% on a year.
IT Infrastructure, Operations & Support+5.1%Postings at 68.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), +5.1% on a year.
Retail+5.0%Postings at 89.7 (1 February 2020 = 100), +5.0% on a year.
Architecture+4.3%Postings at 92.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +4.3% on a year.
Accounting−4.1%Postings at 106.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), −4.1% on a year.
Insurance+3.9%Postings at 125.7 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.9% on a year.
Driving−3.6%Postings at 83.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), −3.6% on a year.
Installation & Maintenance+3.6%Postings at 117.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.6% on a year.
Therapy+3.5%Postings at 189.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.5% on a year.
Security & Public Safety+3.4%Postings at 118.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.4% on a year.
Food Preparation & Service−3.2%Postings at 95.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), −3.2% on a year.
Medical Technician−3.0%Postings at 124.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), −3.0% on a year.
Legal+2.9%Postings at 123.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), +2.9% on a year.
Marketing−2.6%Postings at 75.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), −2.6% on a year.
Cleaning & Sanitation+2.5%Postings at 102.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +2.5% on a year.
Administrative Assistance−1.5%Postings at 93.4 (1 February 2020 = 100), −1.5% on a year.
Customer Service−1.3%Postings at 86.6 (1 February 2020 = 100), −1.3% on a year.
Nursing−1.0%Postings at 111.4 (1 February 2020 = 100), −1.0% on a year.
Sales+0.8%Postings at 91.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), +0.8% on a year.
Personal Care & Home Health+0.6%Postings at 150.7 (1 February 2020 = 100), +0.6% on a year.
Job postings, by country · centre: same week a year earlier · Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 16, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
France−16.7%Postings at 89.1 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 16, 2026, −16.7% on a year.
Italy−13.6%Postings at 138.6 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 16, 2026, −13.6% on a year.
Germany−12.1%Postings at 101.8 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 16, 2026, −12.1% on a year.
Netherlands−9.3%Postings at 113.7 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 16, 2026, −9.3% on a year.
United Kingdom−7.5%Postings at 68.9 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 16, 2026, −7.5% on a year.
Canada+4.2%Postings at 104.2 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 16, 2026, +4.2% on a year.
Spain−3.4%Postings at 144.7 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 16, 2026, −3.4% on a year.
United States+2.8%Postings at 103.8 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 16, 2026, +2.8% on a year.
Ireland−2.8%Postings at 103.2 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 16, 2026, −2.8% on a year.
Australia+1.8%Postings at 152.4 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 16, 2026, +1.8% on a year.
Niño 3.4 sea temperature · centre: 1991–2020 average · NOAA Climate Prediction Center · data to Oct 14, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Week of Oct 7, 2026+3.3°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.3°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Oct 7, 2026.
Week of Oct 14, 2026 (newest)+3.3°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.3°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Oct 14, 2026.
Week of Sep 30, 2026+3.2°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.2°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 30, 2026.
Week of Sep 23, 2026+3.1°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.1°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 23, 2026.
Week of Sep 16, 2026+3.0°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.0°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 16, 2026.
Week of Sep 2, 2026+2.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 2, 2026.
Week of Sep 9, 2026+2.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 9, 2026.
Week of Aug 12, 2026+2.6°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.6°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 12, 2026.
Week of Aug 19, 2026+2.6°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.6°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 19, 2026.
Week of Aug 26, 2026+2.6°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.6°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 26, 2026.
Week of Aug 5, 2026+2.5°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.5°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 5, 2026.
Week of Jul 29, 2026+2.4°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.4°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 29, 2026.
Week of Jul 22, 2026+2.2°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.2°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 22, 2026.
Week of Jul 15, 2026+2.1°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.1°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 15, 2026.
Week of Jul 8, 2026+2.0°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.0°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 8, 2026.
Week of Jun 24, 2026+1.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 24, 2026.
Week of Jun 17, 2026+1.7°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.7°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 17, 2026.
Week of Jul 1, 2026+1.7°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.7°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 1, 2026.
Week of Jun 10, 2026+1.5°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.5°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 10, 2026.
Week of Jun 3, 2026+1.3°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.3°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 3, 2026.
Week of May 27, 2026+1.0°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.0°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on May 27, 2026.
Week of Apr 29, 2026+0.9°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.9°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Apr 29, 2026.
Week of May 13, 2026+0.9°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.9°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on May 13, 2026.
Week of May 20, 2026+0.9°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.9°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on May 20, 2026.
Week of Apr 22, 2026+0.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Apr 22, 2026.
Week of May 6, 2026+0.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on May 6, 2026.

The Pacific, week by week

NOAA Climate Prediction Center · read Oct 23, 3:17 PM EDT · data to Oct 14, 2026

+3.3°C

Niño 3.4, week of Oct 14, 2026
NOAA status: El Niño Advisory

Apr 22, 2026Each stripe one week, against the 1991–2020 average. Amber warmer, blue cooler; deeper colour, larger departure.Oct 14, 2026

Where Washington’s money went this week

USAspending · read Oct 23, 4:46 PM EDT · newest Oct 21, 2026

The 50 largest new federal contracts signed Oct 16, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026, $343M together, blocked by the agency that signed them. Area is dollars. The solid tiles are winners that trade on a US exchange (3 this week).

Veterans Development Corporation, Inc.$63.1MWelch Allyn, Inc.$30.1MValiant Construction LLC$22.3MPointer Construction Group LLC$17.3MLc Fluharty Construction LLC$14.9MKmk Construction, Inc$10.3MTechanax LLC$7.6MSdv Office Systems LLC$5.8MJett'S Specialty Contracting, LLC$4.9MParamount Construction Group, LLC$4.9MOne Stop Recruiting LLC$3.4MAml-American Made Logistics$3.1MNeogenomics Laboratories, Inc.$2.8MDGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated$2.7MBattle'S Transportation, Inc.$2.6MMillburn Harbor Inc$2.6MF & C Group Jv LLC$2.3MEga Associates, LLC$2.2MValor Healthcare Inc$2.1MChelsea Jewish Green House, Inc.$2.0MDouble Bar Blue Cord Jv 1, LLC$2.0MSt Joseph Manor Health Care Inc$1.8MValor Healthcare Inc$1.8MUniversity Of Wisconsin Hospitals And Clinics Authority$1.4M
Stonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.1MIBMInternational Business Machines Corporation$5.1MStonex Financial LTD$5.1MStonex Financial LTD$5.1MStonex Financial LTD$5.0MStonex Financial LTD$3.1MCarahsoft Technology Corp$3.1MStonex Financial LTD$3.1M
Hitt Contracting, Inc.$22.9MCalifornia Institute Of Technology$10.0MCEGConstellation Energy Solutions, LLC$1.8M
Associated Milk Producers Inc$6.1MBongards Creameries$3.4MDsfederal, Inc$2.7M
United Security Inc$3.8MNorthwest Regional Re-Entry Center (Nwrrc)$3.1MNorth Arrow, Inc.$2.0M
Hsg Park Joint Venture 3, LLC$7.5M
Action Facilities Management Inc$1.7M
American Indian Association Of Tucson, Inc$1.6M
Golden It LLC$1.6M
Veterans Development Corporation, Inc.$63.1MWelch Allyn, Inc.$30.1MValiant Construction LLC$22.3MPointer Construction Group LLC$17.3MLc Fluharty Construction LLC$14.9MKmk Construction, Inc$10.3MTechanax LLC$7.6MSdv Office Systems LLC$5.8MJett'S Specialty Contracting, LLC$4.9MParamount Construction Group, LLC$4.9MOne Stop Recruiting LLC$3.4MAml-American Made Logistics$3.1MNeogenomics Laboratories, Inc.$2.8MDGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated$2.7MBattle'S Transportation, Inc.$2.6MMillburn Harbor Inc$2.6MF & C Group Jv LLC$2.3MEga Associates, LLC$2.2MValor Healthcare Inc$2.1MChelsea Jewish Green House, Inc.$2.0MDouble Bar Blue Cord Jv 1, LLC$2.0MSt Joseph Manor Health Care Inc$1.8MValor Healthcare Inc$1.8MUniversity Of Wisconsin Hospitals And Clinics Authority$1.4M
Stonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.1MIBMInternational Business Machines Corporation$5.1MStonex Financial LTD$5.1MStonex Financial LTD$5.1MStonex Financial LTD$5.0MStonex Financial LTD$3.1MCarahsoft Technology Corp$3.1MStonex Financial LTD$3.1M
Hitt Contracting, Inc.$22.9MCalifornia Institute Of Technology$10.0MCEGConstellation Energy Solutions, LLC$1.8M
Associated Milk Producers Inc$6.1MBongards Creameries$3.4MDsfederal, Inc$2.7M
United Security Inc$3.8MNorthwest Regional Re-Entry Center (Nwrrc)$3.1MNorth Arrow, Inc.$2.0M
Hsg Park Joint Venture 3, LLC$7.5M
Action Facilities Management Inc$1.7M
American Indian Association Of Tucson, Inc$1.6M
Golden It LLC$1.6M

Point at a tile, or tab to it, to read the award. Each opens on USAspending.gov.

The five pages

Every source and its limits →
  1. 01

    Prediction markets

    What traders pay for the Fed, inflation, recession, war and trade outcomes

    Kalshi, Polymarket · read Oct 23, 5:56 PM EDT · priced Oct 23, 5:56 PM EDT

    93%

    Fed decision in Oct 2026: hold

  2. 02

    Shipping

    Chokepoint transits and port calls against normal, from ship positions

    IMF PortWatch · read Oct 23, 3:17 PM EDT · data to Oct 16, 2026

    3 of 10

    Straits binding: Bosphorus, Bab el-Mandeb, Hormuz

  3. 03

    Procurement

    New federal contracts this week, and which listed companies won them

    USAspending · read Oct 23, 4:46 PM EDT · newest Oct 21, 2026

    $343M

    Top 50 new awards, 7 days

  4. 04

    Satellite & environment

    El Niño, active storms, major quakes and open natural events

    NOAA · read Oct 23, 3:17 PM EDT · data to Oct 14, 2026

    +3.3°C

    Niño 3.4 · El Niño Advisory

  5. 05

    Hiring

    Job postings by country and occupation, weeks before payrolls

    Indeed Hiring Lab · read Oct 23, 3:17 PM EDT · data to Oct 16, 2026

    +2.8%

    US job postings on a year, seasonally adjusted

ARCANE reporting

Investigations built on alternative evidence
Early WarningAsian port congestion leaves container lines a steep climb back onto scheduleSea-Intelligence's August reading, expected within days, will show whether July's sharp drop in on-time vessel arrivals was a passing jam or a longer slide, and whether carriers and the cargo owners waiting on their ships face more months of late arrivals.Early WarningChina builds Antelope Reef into an island big enough for a runwayVietnam and a busy shipping corridor would sit within reach of any airfield built on the new ground, and satellite images will show first whether one comes.SemiconductorsAXT plans Beijing indium-phosphide wafer expansion while U.S. approvals remain unresolvedAXT’s unresolved August approvals make the next filing window decisive for whether funded capacity becomes usable supply for U.S. buyers.ArchiveChina’s transformer shipments outpaced all published U.S. grid-capacity projectionsThe Trump administration banned key grid equipment as China’s exports surged, leaving American utilities exposed to global delivery delays documented in customs data.ArchivePanama Canal auction bids now shape shipping costs more than tollsWith official rates held flat, the canal’s open auction for scarce transit slots now determines real prices for ships in passage, reflecting peak demand and urgency.

How Alt Data admits a source

Every source and its limits →
01Public and checkable

Every source is published by the body that measures it and free to read, and each figure links to it.

02Dated

Each figure shows the date its data runs to and when ARCANE last read it.

03Limits stated

Each source’s registry entry says what it cannot tell you, beside what it measures.

04Nothing in its place

A source that stops answering is shown as unavailable, with the time it stopped. No sample, estimate or old figure stands in for it.

Alt Data · ARCANE